Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2022

Matt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which we’ve been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for 11 years.

In the baseball industry, teams and agents determine arbitration salaries by identifying comparable players. To project the entire arbitration class in this way would take a massive amount of time and effort. So, Matt has developed an algorithm to project arbitration salaries that looks at the player’s playing time, position, role, and performance statistics while accounting for inflation. The performance of comparable players matters, but our system is not directly selecting comps for each individual player.

As a disclaimer, I should note that our projections are not to be used as a scorecard for the agent and team on an individual player level. A player doing better or worse than our projection isn’t indicative of anything. Our arbitration projections are created as a tool for our readers to get a general idea of a team’s payroll situation.

Please note that service time is not yet official, nor is the Super Two cutoff known.  Plus, a good number of these players will be removed from the 40-man roster before arbitration can be filed.

If you find MLBTR’s arbitration projections useful, please consider supporting us with a subscription.

Angels (5)

  • Junior Guerra – $1.3MM
  • Phil Gosselin – $1.5MM
  • Max Stassi – $2.7MM
  • Mike Mayers – $2.2MM
  • Franklin Barreto – $700K

Astros (6)

  • Rafael Montero – $3.1MM
  • Aledmys Diaz – $4.0MM
  • Phil Maton – $1.4MM
  • Ryne Stanek – $2.1MM
  • Josh James – $700K
  • Framber Valdez – $3.2MM

Athletics (11)

  • Sean Manaea – $10.2MM
  • Chris Bassitt – $8.8MM
  • Chad Pinder – $2.8MM
  • Matt Chapman – $9.5MM
  • Matt Olson – $12.0MM
  • Tony Kemp – $2.2MM
  • Frankie Montas – $5.2MM
  • Lou Trivino – $2.9MM
  • Pete Kozma – $600K
  • Deolis Guerra – $900K
  • Ramon Laureano – $2.8MM

Blue Jays (12)

  • Ross Stripling – $4.4MM
  • Jose Berrios – $10.9MM
  • Jacob Barnes – $1.2MM
  • Teoscar Hernandez – $10.0MM
  • Adam Cimber – $1.5MM
  • Trevor Richards – $1.1MM
  • Ryan Borucki – $800K
  • Danny Jansen – $1.5MM
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – $7.9MM
  • Tim Mayza – $1.2MM
  • Trent Thornton – $900K
  • Cavan Biggio – $1.7MM

Braves (15)

  • Adam Duvall – $9.1MM
  • Dansby Swanson – $10.1MM
  • Luke Jackson – $3.8MM
  • Grant Dayton – $1.2MM
  • Orlando Arcia – $2.1MM
  • Guillermo Heredia – $1.6MM
  • Richard Rodriguez – $3.1MM
  • Johan Camargo – $1.4MM
  • A.J. Minter – $2.1MM
  • Max Fried – $7.1MM
  • Mike Soroka – $2.8MM
  • Sean Newcomb – $900K
  • Edgar Santana – $1.0MM
  • Tyler Matzek – $1.5MM
  • Austin Riley – $4.3MM

Brewers (14)

  • Jace Peterson – $1.3MM
  • Omar Narvaez – $4.1MM
  • Brent Suter – $2.3MM
  • Luke Maile – $1.0MM
  • Josh Hader – $10.0MM
  • Brandon Woodruff – $7.1MM
  • Daniel Vogelbach – $2.0MM
  • Willy Adames – $4.0MM
  • Corbin Burnes – $4.0MM
  • Eric Lauer – $2.7MM
  • Jandel Gustave – $800K
  • Adrian Houser – $2.3MM
  • Rowdy Tellez – $1.9MM
  • Luis Urias – $2.4MM

Cardinals (8)

  • Alex Reyes – $3.3MM
  • Harrison Bader – $3.7MM
  • Justin Miller – $900K
  • Jack Flaherty – $5.1MM
  • Jordan Hicks – $1.0MM
  • Giovanny Gallegos – $2.8MM
  • Dakota Hudson – $1.7MM
  • Tyler O’Neill – $3.5MM

Cubs (6)

  • Rex Brothers – $1.5MM
  • Adam Morgan – $1.3MM
  • Willson Contreras – $8.7MM
  • Jonathan Holder – $800K
  • Joe Biagini – $800K
  • Ian Happ – $6.5MM

Diamondbacks (5)

  • Luke Weaver – $2.7MM
  • Noe Ramirez – $1.8MM
  • Caleb Smith – $2.1MM
  • Carson Kelly – $3.0MM
  • Christian Walker – $2.7MM

Dodgers (5)

  • Trea Turner – $19.8MM
  • Scott Alexander – $1.3MM
  • Cody Bellinger – $16.1MM
  • Julio Urias – $8.8MM
  • Caleb Ferguson – $700K

Giants (8)

  • Dominic Leone – $1.5MM
  • Curt Casali – $2.0MM
  • Alex Dickerson – $3.0MM
  • Darin Ruf – $2.6MM
  • Jarlin Garcia – $1.8MM
  • John Brebbia – $1.0MM
  • Austin Slater – $2.0MM
  • Mike Yastrzemski – $3.1MM

Indians (9)

  • Austin Hedges – $3.8MM
  • Nick Wittgren – $2.8MM
  • Amed Rosario – $5.0MM
  • Franmil Reyes – $4.4MM
  • Shane Bieber – $4.8MM
  • Bradley Zimmer – $1.5MM
  • Cal Quantrill – $2.8MM
  • Josh Naylor – $1.2MM
  • Harold Ramirez – $1.6MM

Mariners (9)

  • Mitch Haniger – $8.5MM
  • Drew Steckenrider – $2.1MM
  • Tom Murphy – $1.7MM
  • J.P. Crawford – $5.0MM
  • Diego Castillo – $2.6MM
  • Paul Sewald – $1.8MM
  • Casey Sadler – $1.3MM
  • Dylan Moore – $1.6MM
  • Luis Torrens – $1.6MM

Marlins (13)

  • Jesus Aguilar – $7.4MM
  • Richard Bleier – $2.5MM
  • Jorge Alfaro – $2.7MM
  • Garrett Cooper – $3.0MM
  • Dylan Floro – $2.4MM
  • Brian Anderson – $4.5MM
  • Elieser Hernandez – $1.4MM
  • Sandy Alcantara – $4.5MM
  • Pablo Lopez – $2.5MM
  • Lewis Brinson – $1.3MM
  • Jon Berti – $1.2MM
  • Magneuris Sierra – $700K
  • Jeff Brigham – $600K

Mets (16)

  • Edwin Diaz – $10.4MM
  • Jose Peraza – $1.0MM
  • Seth Lugo – $3.7MM
  • Miguel Castro – $2.6MM
  • Brandon Nimmo – $6.0MM
  • Robert Gsellman – $1.6MM
  • Trevor Williams – $3.8MM
  • Jose Martinez – $1.0MM
  • Dominic Smith – $4.0MM
  • J.D. Davis – $2.7MM
  • Tomas Nido – $900K
  • Jeff McNeil – $2.8MM
  • Joey Lucchesi – $1.6MM
  • Drew Smith – $900K
  • Pete Alonso – $7.3MM
  • Luis Guillorme – $700K

Nationals (10)

  • Josh Bell – $10.0MM
  • Joe Ross – $3.0MM
  • Juan Soto – $16.2MM
  • Erick Fedde – $1.9MM
  • Wander Suero – $900K
  • Victor Robles – $1.7MM
  • Ryne Harper – $800K
  • Austin Voth – $1.0MM
  • Tanner Rainey – $800K
  • Andrew Stevenson – $900K

Orioles (8)

  • Trey Mancini – $7.9MM
  • Pedro Severino – $3.1MM
  • Pat Valaika – $1.3MM
  • Anthony Santander – $3.7MM
  • Jorge Lopez – $1.5MM
  • Paul Fry – $1.1MM
  • Tanner Scott – $1.0MM
  • John Means – $3.1MM

Padres (13)

  • Adam Frazier – $7.2MM
  • Matt Strahm – $2.1MM
  • Joe Musgrove – $8.9MM
  • Dinelson Lamet – $4.6MM
  • Emilio Pagan – $2.3MM
  • Dan Altavilla – $1.0MM
  • Victor Caratini – $2.1MM
  • Jose Castillo – $700K
  • Tim Hill – $1.4MM
  • Trey Wingenter – $600K
  • Austin Adams – $1.0MM
  • Chris Paddack – $2.1MM
  • Miguel Diaz – $800K

Phillies (9)

  • Odubel Herrera  – $11.6MM
  • Travis Jankowski – $900K
  • Zach Eflin – $6.0MM
  • Andrew Knapp – $1.2MM
  • Jose Alvarado – $1.9MM
  • Rhys Hoskins – $7.6MM
  • Ronald Torreyes – $1.6MM
  • Seranthony Dominguez – $800K
  • Roman Quinn – $700K

Pirates (11)

  • Chasen Shreve – $2.3MM
  • Chad Kuhl – $3.0MM
  • Ben Gamel – $2.9MM
  • Wilmer Difo – $1.1MM
  • Colin Moran – $4.0MM
  • Chris Stratton – $2.2MM
  • Steven Brault – $2.2MM
  • Jacob Stallings – $2.6MM
  • Kevin Newman – $2.2MM
  • Michael Perez – $900K
  • Bryan Reynolds – $4.5MM

Rangers (7)

  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa – $4.9MM
  • Matt Bush – $900K
  • Ronald Guzman – $1.0MM
  • Jharel Cotton – $1.2MM
  • Willie Calhoun – $1.6MM
  • Brett Martin – $1.1MM
  • Taylor Hearn – $1.1MM

Rays (19)

  • Oliver Drake – $1.0MM
  • Matt Wisler – $1.8MM
  • Manuel Margot – $5.0MM
  • Tyler Glasnow – $5.8MM
  • Adam Conley – $900K
  • Joey Wendle – $4.0MM
  • Ji-Man Choi – $3.5MM
  • Ryan Yarbrough – $4.4MM
  • Yonny Chirinos – $1.2MM
  • Yandy Diaz – $2.7MM
  • Jordan Luplow – $1.5MM
  • Austin Meadows – $4.3MM
  • Cody Reed – $700K
  • Andrew Kittredge – $1.6MM
  • Jalen Beeks – $600K
  • Francisco Mejia – $1.5MM
  • Jeffrey Springs – $1.0MM
  • Brett Phillips – $1.2MM
  • Nick Anderson – $900K

Red Sox (9)

  • Kevin Plawecki – $2.0MM
  • Hunter Renfroe – $7.6MM
  • Ryan Brasier – $1.4MM
  • Rafael Devers – $11.1MM
  • Nick Pivetta – $3.2MM
  • Franchy Cordero – $1.0MM
  • Alex Verdugo – $3.2MM
  • Christian Arroyo – $1.1MM
  • Josh Taylor – $1.1MM

Reds (10)

  • Tyler Naquin – $3.6MM
  • Luis Cessa – $1.6MM
  • Luis Castillo – $7.6MM
  • Amir Garrett – $2.2MM
  • Jesse Winker – $6.8MM
  • Tyler Mahle – $5.6MM
  • Kyle Farmer – $2.2MM
  • Jeff Hoffman – $1.1MM
  • Lucas Sims – $1.2MM
  • Nick Senzel – $1.1MM

Rockies (12)

  • Daniel Bard – $4.8MM
  • Elias Diaz – $2.6MM
  • Carlos Estevez – $3.2MM
  • Kyle Freeland – $7.0MM
  • Robert Stephenson – $1.1MM
  • Raimel Tapia – $3.9MM
  • Ryan McMahon – $5.5MM
  • Rio Ruiz – $1.1MM
  • Garrett Hampson – $1.8MM
  • Tyler Kinley – $1.0MM
  • Yency Almonte – $700K
  • Peter Lambert – $600K

Royals (9)

  • Hanser Alberto – $2.1MM
  • Andrew Benintendi – $9.3MM
  • Adalberto Mondesi – $3.2MM
  • Jakob Junis – $1.8MM
  • Brad Keller – $5.2MM
  • Cam Gallagher – $900K
  • Scott Barlow – $2.4MM
  • Ryan O’Hearn – $1.4MM
  • Nicky Lopez – $2.0MM

Tigers (13)

  • Michael Fulmer – $5.1MM
  • Matthew Boyd – $7.3MM
  • Drew Hutchison – $900K
  • Ian Krol – $900K
  • Joe Jimenez – $1.8MM
  • Jeimer Candelario – $5.9MM
  • Niko Goodrum – $2.9MM
  • Jose Cisnero – $1.9MM
  • Victor Reyes – $1.3MM
  • Grayson Greiner – $800K
  • Spencer Turnbull – $1.8MM
  • Dustin Garneau – $1.6MM
  • Harold Castro – $1.5MM

Twins (12)

  • Byron Buxton – $7.3MM
  • Taylor Rogers – $6.7MM
  • Tyler Duffey – $3.7MM
  • John Gant – $3.7MM
  • Mitch Garver – $3.1MM
  • Caleb Thielbar – $1.2MM
  • Rob Refsnyder – $800K
  • Jake Cave – $1.1MM
  • Danny Coulombe – $800K
  • Willians Astudillo – $1.2MM
  • Juan Minaya – $1.1MM
  • Luis Arraez – $2.0MM

White Sox (7)

  • Evan Marshall – $2.3MM
  • Brian Goodwin – $1.7MM
  • Lucas Giolito – $7.9MM
  • Adam Engel – $2.2MM
  • Reynaldo Lopez – $2.8MM
  • Jace Fry – $1.0MM
  • Jimmy Cordero – $1.2MM

Yankees (19)

  • Jameson Taillon – $4.7MM
  • Joey Gallo – $10.2MM
  • Gary Sanchez – $7.9MM
  • Aaron Judge – $17.1MM
  • Chad Green – $4.1MM
  • Wandy Peralta – $1.7MM
  • Jordan Montgomery – $4.8MM
  • Gio Urshela – $6.2MM
  • Luke Voit – $5.4MM
  • Gleyber Torres – $5.9MM
  • Clint Frazier – $2.4MM
  • Miguel Andujar – $1.7MM
  • Tyler Wade – $700K
  • Clay Holmes – $1.0MM
  • Jonathan Loaisiga – $1.7MM
  • Domingo German – $2.1MM
  • Lucas Luetge – $1.1MM
  • Tim Locastro – $700K
  • Kyle Higashioka – $1.2MM



Published at Tue, 12 Oct 2021 03:59:40 +0000

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